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(Date Report Was Created: 16-Jun-2014) 
Carpenter Technology (CRS)Industrial Goods
Last: 61.88  (+0.05 pts, 0.08%)  Open: 61.9  High: 62.16  low: 61.47  Metal Fabrication

Quick Summary
  • The Stock is in Distribution Phase. The distribution Phase occurs when the market is showing signs of weakening. The sellers seem to be entering the market.
  • The stock has retraced 7.6% from its recent high price of 67 which occurred on 4-Apr-2014. The current price is below the 50 day moving average of 63.4. Sustained move below the average could put the recent uptrend in jeapordy.
  • The closest support can be found at 59.25. The closest resistance can be found at 62.11. See Support/Resistance below for details.

How to trade Carpenter Technology(CRS)?

  • Breakout Trade: A close below the support level of 59.25 could trigger a sell signal. Confirmation would occur when the high of the day would be below 59.25.
  • Retracement Trade: Consider sell/shorting when the price retraces around 62.11 if you are aggressive. Alternatively, a conservative sell would be around 65.
  • Risk Management: Consider risking somewhere between 1.2765(2.06%) and 2.1275(3.44%) points on your position. Risk management is an important part of trading. Our risk management strategy is based on the average daily range of the stock.
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Market Phase:? Distribution This indicator compares long term trend with short term price action to explain the current phase of the market. According to the indicator, the stock of Carpenter Technology is in the Distribution Phase. The market for CRS is weakening. Generally, this indicates that the market is showing signs that sellers are entering.
Short Term Trend:     (-5) The short term trend indicator only looks at 10 to 20 day timeframe to determine the current trend. Carpenter Technology(CRS) is currently mildly bearish.
3 Day Money Flow:     (+2) The money flowing for last 3 days in CRS has been insignificant on the uptrend. This indicator summarizes the price and volume activity over last 3 days. It is a very short term indicator.

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Phase:?Distribution  Relative Strength:    (-4)
EPS Growth(yoy):    (-4)  Fundamental:    (+5)

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If you are investing in stock, or if you buy stocks, trade stock, or are into stock investing, read this section to improve your stock trading skills.

Buying and selling stocks involve risk. If you buy stocks, sell stocks or trade stocks, you should incorporate risk management into your trading plan. Here is one method to manage risk involved in trading stocks.

Tip. The crucial element in risk management is knowing when to exit a trade that is going against your position. we believes that this should be planned prior to entering the trade. None of us are perfect traders, and we do make mistakes. We either buy or sell the wrong stock or our timing on the stock is not correct. Trading many times is a humbling experience. So at some point, you have to swallow your pride, and cut your losses. We believe that an unemotional but an objective way will be beneficial in the longterm. provides a reasonable approach to this question: when to cut your losses. We believe that the amount of money that one should risk on a particular stock depends on the volatility of the stock. If you risk too little on a trade, you may lose the opportunity. For example, BIDU, a Chinese Internet company, is very volatile, as well as rewarding to many traders. If you risked 3% by setting a stop order or by exiting the trade, you would most likely exit the trade too quickly. Basically, because the stock is volatile, you need to risk more then 3% when trading BIDU.

Similarly, a trader should not risk more than what is required on a trade. For example, risking 20% on GE trade does not make sense. Bidu and GE have different volatility profile. risk management numbers intend to provide a balance. We incorporate the volatility profile of a stock, and crunch the numbers based on past behavior of the stock to come up with a reasonable estimate of how much you should risk on a trade. There is a no method to calculate the optimal amount. However, we believe that a reasonable approach over a long term will pay off.

Based on the volatility of a particular stock, we provide a range. For example, you bought a stock at $100.00, the risk management section suggest you risk between 3% and 7% on a stock. In such a case, you may hold on to the stock until it reaches $97 to $93. This is based on the thought that 3% to 7% is a normal fluctuation of prices in that particular stock. However, we suggest that if it falls below 7%, you should seriously reevaluate the assumptions you made when entering the trade.

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